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Who Will Win The 2010 World Series And Why: Math And Psychology Hold The Keys

Posted by: Dr. Granat on October 25, 2010


       The New York Yankees and The Philadelphia Phillies have been upset and eliminated from post season play, but this year’s World Series between The Texas Rangers and The San Francisco Giants looks like an interesting and competitive match up.

       Recently, my colleague, Carlton Chin and I authored a book called, Who Will Win The Big Game:  50 Characteristics Of Champions

       In this guide, I looked at the psychological factors which predict which teams, Athletes and coaches are likely to perform well in big games like The World Series and The Super Bowl. 

       Carlton, a quant trained at MIT, focused on mathematical data which determine  the likely winners of major sporting events. 

         We believe that the combination of mathematics and psychology can help fans, coaches and owners to better understand what it takes to have a winning team.

                 So which team will win this year’s World Series?

  What Do Mathematics And Psychology

Say About The World Series?


        Our analysis shows that San Francisco has the edge in several important areas.   The Giants have two top starting pitchers and they have a great closer.

They also have a better rank in fielding percentage.  That is, the San Francisco club makes fewer fielding errors than do the Texas Rangers.

        However, batting average, a very important statistic favors Texas.  In fact, the team with the higher batting average has won approximately three quarters of the World Series contests.  Texas really does have an explosive and deep lineup.

      Team speed also favors the Rangers, as they have more than twice as many stolen bases as do the Giants.

      Texas has never been to the big game and The Giants have not been there for many  years.  So, neither squad has this kind of valuable experience.

        The Giants are a young team.  While the Rangers have a mix of veterans and young players.  I believe the older players can mentor the players through the World Series process.

             The Rangers also have an experienced catcher who can help the pitchers to manage the pressure of the big game.

         The Rangers also are on a big roll as they dominated the Yankees.  While San Francisco beat Philadelphia, the games were quite close and their victories were not wins in which they crushed their opponent.

          My coauthor, Carlton Chin, is leaning toward San Francisco.

           I am picking Texas. 

           Sometimes, math and psychology line up and sometimes they do not.

           We both feel the series will go six or seven games and it should be close and quite competitive.

   Jay P. Granat, Ph.D. is a Psychotherapist in River Edge, NJ and the Founder of

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