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Who Will The 2011 NBA Championship: Math And Psychology Reveal The Likely Winner

Posted by: Dr. Granat on May 31, 2011

Heat To Stay Hot And Win NBA Title

Dirk Nowitzki and Jason Kidd are remarkable players. And Jose Barea is a very
exciting diminutive player. Dallas will undoubtedly win some games against Miami.

However, The Miami Heat and their three superstars will probably be too hot for
The Dallas Mavericks to handle in the upcoming NBA Championship Series.

Here is why I am convinced that Miami will emerge as the victor in this year’s
professional basketball finale.

Some time ago, my colleague, friend, tennis buddy and coauthor, Carlton Chin and I
wrote a book called Who Will Win The Big Game? In this guide, we looked at fifty
mathematical and psychological determinants of coaches, teams and players who win
championship contests. This book has been featured in The New York Times and
The Wall Street Journal. Carlton and I have been sharing our ideas with athletes, teams
and coaches.

One of the things that our research pointed out is the importance of leadership in
winning big games. Pat Riley, one of the great motivators and one of the top basketball
minds has been orchestrating much of Miami’s success. I believe he will continue to play
an important behind the scenes strategic roll in the outcome of this championship.

Second, the team with bigger star in terms of scoring during the regular season has
won fifteen of the last twenty one NBA Championships. LeBron James and Dwayne
Wade average more points per game than does Dirk Nowitzki. If Chris Bosh plays well,
and if this dynamic Miami triad plays well as a unit, they will overpower and outlast

An interesting aspect of the game to watch will be foul shooting in the last two
minutes. Being able to execute pressure free throws at the close of tight games will be
factor in this series.

Nowitzki has been great at the free throw line and this could be one area where the
Mavericks may have an advantage.

The odds makers currently have Miami as a one to two favorite.

I look for The Heat to win it all in six or seven games.

Jay P. Granat, Ph.D. is the Founder of

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